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What will be the primary reason for TikTok's U.S. operations outcome by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
National security concerns • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
Business strategic decision • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Official statements from ByteDance, U.S. government, or acquiring entity
Story
China Considers Allowing Elon Musk to Buy TikTok's U.S. Operations for $40-50 Billion Amid Ban Threat
Jan 15, 2025, 05:20 AM
Chinese officials are reportedly considering allowing Elon Musk to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations for an estimated $40 to $50 billion as a potential strategy to avoid an impending ban on the platform in the United States. The discussions come as TikTok, owned by ByteDance, faces a deadline of January 19, 2025, to either sell its U.S. operations or face a ban. The sale to Musk would involve the American branch of TikTok, which has 170 million users, potentially integrating it with Musk's social media platform X. However, TikTok has denied these discussions, labeling them as 'pure fiction.' The potential acquisition is seen as a response to U.S. national security concerns over TikTok's Chinese ownership and data privacy issues.
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TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's company X • 25%
Sold to another buyer • 25%
Remains under ByteDance ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Conditional operation allowed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%