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What will be TikTok's ownership outcome by Jan 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, TikTok, or the U.S. Department of Justice
Story
Appeals Court Denies TikTok's Bid; Ban Set for January 19 Unless Sold
Dec 14, 2024, 12:53 AM
On Friday, the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) asked a federal appeals court to reject TikTok's emergency bid to temporarily block a law requiring its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the short-video app by January 19, 2025, or face a ban. The appeals court denied TikTok's request, leaving the mid-January deadline in place. TikTok is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court as it faces a potential U.S. ban if it does not comply with the law.
View original story
Similar markets
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S. company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in U.S. • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 33%
Sold to U.S. company • 33%
Sold to non-U.S. company • 33%