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What will be the primary reason for any action against TikTok by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
National security concerns • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or major news outlets.
Story
TikTok Denies Reports of Sale to Elon Musk as U.S. Ban Looms on January 19
Jan 14, 2025, 12:19 PM
TikTok has firmly denied reports that China is considering a sale of the app's U.S. operations to Elon Musk, labeling such claims as 'pure fiction.' The social media platform faces a potential ban in the U.S. on January 19, unless its parent company, ByteDance, divests its U.S. operations. The U.S. government has expressed concerns over national security, citing fears that TikTok could be used for spying or spreading propaganda by the Chinese government. Despite these tensions, TikTok has maintained that it will not sell its U.S. operations and has dismissed any speculation about a deal with Musk, according to a Bloomberg report.
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Other reasons • 25%
Data privacy concerns • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
National security threats • 25%
First Amendment • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Impact • 25%
National Security • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
First Amendment rights • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Other • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
Business strategic decision • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Other action • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Appeal denied, ban enforced • 25%
Settlement reached, operations continue • 25%
Appeal granted, no ban • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%