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What alternative actions will TikTok or the U.S. government take by January 19, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Lawmakers Warn Apple, Google to Remove TikTok by January 19, Unless ByteDance Divests Its U.S. Operations
Dec 13, 2024, 04:31 PM
Key lawmakers in the U.S. Congress have issued a warning to Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc., the parent company of Google, to prepare for the removal of TikTok from their app stores by January 19, 2024. This directive comes in the form of letters sent to the companies, emphasizing the urgency of compliance. The warning follows a recent court ruling that requires TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban. Lawmakers have indicated that TikTok must provide its users and creators with a copy of their data by the deadline to facilitate a potential transition to other platforms. The situation underscores ongoing concerns regarding national security and the influence of the Chinese Communist Party over the popular social media application.
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Other actions • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Legal appeal filed • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Settlement reached, operations continue • 25%
Appeal denied, ban enforced • 25%
Appeal granted, no ban • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Other action • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
Do Not Remove TikTok • 25%
No Action Announced • 25%
Announce Removal Plan • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%