Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's military action in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved governments
Story
Erdogan: End Near for PKK in Syria, Turkey Ready for Sudden Military Action
Jan 6, 2025, 04:28 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has declared that the end of Kurdish militants in Syria is approaching, following the ousting of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad last month. Speaking after a cabinet meeting in Ankara, Erdogan emphasized that Syria's new leadership is determined to eliminate separatists in the country. He also warned that Turkey is prepared to launch a new cross-border operation into Syria against the Kurdish militia if it feels threatened. Erdogan stated that Turkey has shown its firm commitment to its survival and security, hinting at potential military action by saying, 'we can come suddenly one night.' Additionally, Turkey's military reported having 'neutralized' 32 members of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
No intervention • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No success • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Successful operation with significant Kurdish retreat • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation called off or delayed indefinitely • 25%