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What will be Turkey's future policy approach towards YPG/PKK by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continued military action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Official Turkish government policy announcements, credible news reports
Story
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan Plans Dialogue with New Syrian Government, Citing 10 Years of HTS Cooperation and No Terrorism
Dec 21, 2024, 12:19 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has announced plans to engage with the new Syrian government, emphasizing the need for dialogue. He stated that Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) has not been involved in any terrorist activities over the past decade, a point corroborated by Western intelligence agencies. Fidan highlighted that HTS has cooperated with Turkey in intelligence gathering regarding ISIS and Al-Qaeda. He also mentioned that the YPG/PKK, which he described as an artificially created terrorist organization, is well aware of Turkey's objectives. Fidan's comments reflect a shift in Turkey's approach towards the Syrian conflict and its actors, as he prepares for discussions with officials from the new Syrian administration in Damascus.
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Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Strengthens collaboration • 25%
Reduces collaboration • 25%
Ends collaboration • 25%
No change • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%