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What will be the outcome of Turkey's military operation in northern Syria by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant PKK/YPG losses • 25%
Minor PKK/YPG losses • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Turkish National Defense Ministry or credible news agencies
Story
Turkish Armed Forces Neutralize 29 PKK/YPG Terrorists Preparing for Attack in Northern Syria, Says Defense Ministry
Jan 17, 2025, 08:53 AM
The Turkish Armed Forces have neutralized 29 PKK/YPG terrorists in northern Syria who were reportedly preparing for an attack. This operation was confirmed by the Turkish National Defense Ministry, highlighting a continued effort to combat terrorism in the region. The action is seen as a significant blow to the PKK, which has been involved in ongoing conflicts in Turkey and its borders. The operation underscores Turkey's commitment to addressing threats from terrorist organizations operating near its territory.
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Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Success in preventing fragmentation • 25%
Failure to achieve goals • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%