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What will be the outcome of Turkey's actions against the YPG in Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official statements
Story
Turkey's Erdoğan Vows to Eliminate All Terror Groups in Syria at AK Party Congress, Zero Tolerance for YPG Occupying One-third of Syria
Jan 18, 2025, 01:59 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan reaffirmed Turkey's commitment to eliminating all terrorist organizations in Syria, stating that this could be achieved either peacefully or through force. Speaking at the AK Party's 8th Annual Provincial Congress in Mersin, Erdoğan emphasized that Turkey has 'zero tolerance' for the YPG, a group he accused of occupying one-third of Syria. He indicated that the government plans to take decisive action to resolve the issue with the YPG and prevent new scenarios from unfolding in the region. Erdoğan's remarks reflect ongoing tensions regarding the presence of various armed groups in Syria, which he claims jeopardize Turkey's security.
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YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete success • 25%
No success • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution Achieved • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Military Operation Launched • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%