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Will Turkey and the YPG reach a peaceful agreement by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Turkish government or YPG representatives
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Turkey's Erdoğan Vows to Eliminate All Terror Groups in Syria at AK Party Congress, Zero Tolerance for YPG Occupying One-third of Syria
Jan 18, 2025, 01:59 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan reaffirmed Turkey's commitment to eliminating all terrorist organizations in Syria, stating that this could be achieved either peacefully or through force. Speaking at the AK Party's 8th Annual Provincial Congress in Mersin, Erdoğan emphasized that Turkey has 'zero tolerance' for the YPG, a group he accused of occupying one-third of Syria. He indicated that the government plans to take decisive action to resolve the issue with the YPG and prevent new scenarios from unfolding in the region. Erdoğan's remarks reflect ongoing tensions regarding the presence of various armed groups in Syria, which he claims jeopardize Turkey's security.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Military escalation • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
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No • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%