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What will be the level of Syrian stability by Dec 31, 2025, following Turkey's initiatives?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international organizations such as the UN or analyses by major think tanks
Story
Turkey's Fidan Tells Blinken: No PKK/YPG in Syria, Urges Syrian Stability
Dec 28, 2024, 03:41 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan spoke with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, emphasizing that Turkey will not permit the PKK/YPG terrorist organization to shelter in Syria. Fidan underlined the importance of collaborating with Syria's new administration to ensure stability and complete the transition period in an orderly manner. The U.S. Department of State confirmed that Blinken and Fidan discussed the shared goal of preventing terrorism from jeopardizing the security of both Turkey and Syria, and emphasized the need to support a Syrian-led political process.
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Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey gains significant influence in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws from Syrian affairs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Turkey strengthens control in Syria • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Stable control • 25%