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What will be the legal outcome of TikTok's divestment challenge by Jan 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supreme Court blocks order • 25%
Supreme Court upholds order • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Court rulings or official statements from TikTok or U.S. Department of Justice
Story
Appeals Court Denies TikTok's Bid; Ban Set for January 19 Unless Sold
Dec 14, 2024, 12:53 AM
On Friday, the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) asked a federal appeals court to reject TikTok's emergency bid to temporarily block a law requiring its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the short-video app by January 19, 2025, or face a ban. The appeals court denied TikTok's request, leaving the mid-January deadline in place. TikTok is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court as it faces a potential U.S. ban if it does not comply with the law.
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TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Case is dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
TikTok wins the legal challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the legal challenge • 25%
Case is settled out of court • 25%
Case is postponed beyond January 19, 2024 • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Challenges upheld • 33%
Challenges rejected • 33%
Case unresolved • 33%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
No Decision by Deadline • 34%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%