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What will be the outcome of TikTok's legal challenge by January 19, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok wins the legal challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the legal challenge • 25%
Case is settled out of court • 25%
Case is postponed beyond January 19, 2024 • 25%
U.S. court rulings and official government announcements
Story
DOJ Accuses TikTok of Collecting Sensitive Data, Defends Law to Force Sale or Ban by January 19
Jul 27, 2024, 03:53 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has accused TikTok of collecting data on U.S. users' views on sensitive topics such as gun control, abortion, and religion, allegedly at the direction of its China-based parent company, ByteDance. The DOJ claims that this data collection poses a national security threat, as it could be used for covert content manipulation and propaganda by the Chinese government. In response, the DOJ has asked a U.S. appeals court to reject TikTok's legal challenge to a law requiring ByteDance to divest TikTok's U.S. assets by January 19 or face a ban. The DOJ's filing, submitted on Friday, is part of a broader effort to address concerns about the potential misuse of user data and influence over American public opinion by foreign entities. TikTok's lawsuit argues that the law violates First Amendment rights of free speech.
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Challenges upheld • 33%
Challenges rejected • 33%
Case unresolved • 33%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Law Upheld • 33%
Law Struck Down • 33%
Compromise Reached • 33%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
TikTok loses and divests • 25%
TikTok loses and is banned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok Banned • 33%
TikTok Sold • 33%
TikTok Remains Operational • 33%
TikTok wins completely • 33%
TikTok wins partially • 33%
TikTok loses completely • 33%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests TikTok • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
ByteDance divests US assets • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%