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What will be the impact on Oracle's revenue due to TikTok decision by Mar 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant revenue loss • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Revenue increase • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Oracle's financial reports or official statements
Story
Trump Awaits Court Ruling on TikTok's U.S. Fate, Impacting ByteDance, Oracle
Dec 5, 2024, 12:05 PM
The future of TikTok in the United States is uncertain as a federal appeals court is expected to rule on the app's potential ban this week. President-elect Donald Trump will have the final say on whether TikTok, owned by the Chinese company ByteDance, can continue operations in the U.S. or must be sold to an American buyer by January 19. The decision could benefit major U.S. tech companies while posing a risk to Oracle, which might lose a significant revenue source. Trump faces a divide among his supporters, with some viewing TikTok as a Chinese enemy within, while others see it as an indispensable social platform.
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No Increase • 50%
Increase • 50%
Platform banned • 25%
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User base stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
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Deal Canceled • 25%
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Data not available • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Decrease in users • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
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TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
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TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
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No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
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Acquisition Postponed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%