Loading...
Market
What will be the impact on TikTok's U.S. user base by March 31, 2025?
1
TikTok•United States•Supreme Court•Joe Biden•ByteDance•Chinese•American•First Amendment•Project Liberty•Frank McCourt
Resolution / Starting Odds
User base increases • 25%
User base stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
Platform banned • 25%
User statistics and reports from TikTok or industry analysts
Story
TikTok Faces U.S. Ban on January 10, 2025, as ByteDance's 170 Million Users Await Supreme Court Decision
Jan 9, 2025, 07:30 PM
TikTok is facing a potential ban in the United States, with the Supreme Court set to hear arguments on the matter on January 10, 2025. The law, signed by President Joe Biden in April of the previous year, requires TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. assets by January 19, 2025, or face a nationwide ban. The ban is driven by concerns over national security, with fears that the Chinese government could access American users' data and manipulate content on the platform. TikTok has challenged the law, arguing that it infringes on the First Amendment rights of its 170 million U.S. users. In response to the looming deadline, Project Liberty, led by billionaire Frank McCourt, has offered to acquire TikTok's U.S. assets, aiming to keep the platform operational without relying on ByteDance's current algorithm. The outcome of the Supreme Court's decision could significantly impact the future of TikTok in the U.S., with potential economic and free speech implications.
View original story
Similar markets
User base decreases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Data not available • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase • 25%
Other • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by less than 20% • 25%
Decrease by 20-50% • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
Over 170 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Under new ownership • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Not operational • 25%
More than 1.5 billion • 25%
1.2 to 1.5 billion • 25%
Less than 1 billion • 25%
1 to 1.2 billion • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Polarized • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%