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What will be the impact of TikTok sale negotiations on U.S. businesses by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant positive impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Reports from business analysts or major news outlets
Story
Kevin O'Leary Offers $20 Billion Cash to Buy TikTok to Save U.S. Businesses Before Sunday Deadline with Trump's Involvement
Jan 17, 2025, 04:54 PM
Kevin O'Leary, a prominent investor known for his role on 'Shark Tank', has publicly announced his intention to acquire TikTok by offering $20 billion in cash. O'Leary stated that his motivation for purchasing the platform is to 'save' U.S. businesses that rely on it. His bid comes amid ongoing discussions about the app's future in the U.S., particularly in light of potential regulatory actions. O'Leary's offer is contingent on former President Donald Trump's ability to persuade China to agree to the sale. The deadline for this acquisition effort is set for Sunday, heightening the urgency of the situation.
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Other • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Sale to US company • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Sold to another party • 25%
Sold to McCourt and O’Leary • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Financial Offer • 25%
National Security Concerns • 25%
Regulatory Pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%