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What will be the status of TikTok's operations in North America by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Banned in both • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or government statements
Story
TikTok Challenges Canadian Shutdown Order Amid U.S. Divestment Law Upheld Effective January 19, 2025
Dec 11, 2024, 03:15 PM
TikTok has filed a legal challenge against the Canadian government's order to dissolve its operations in the country. The company submitted an emergency motion to block the shutdown, arguing that the government's claim of national security risk is unfounded. This move comes amidst broader scrutiny of TikTok, particularly in the U.S., where a recent appeals court upheld a law requiring its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the app. The U.S. law is set to take effect on January 19, 2025, raising concerns about a potential ban. TikTok's actions in Canada reflect its ongoing battle against regulatory pressures in multiple jurisdictions.
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Fully operational with new owner • 25%
Operational under current ownership • 25%
Partially operational with restrictions • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Banned • 25%
Unrestricted • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Under review • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Operations significantly reduced • 25%
Operations fully ceased • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fully operational • 33%
Restricted operations • 33%
Banned • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold to a US company • 33%
TikTok continues without changes • 33%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Divests from ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Trump's intervention • 25%
Congressional action • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%