Loading...
Market
Outcome of U.S. government's involvement with TikTok by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
50% U.S. ownership in joint venture • 25%
ByteDance finds approved buyer • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or ByteDance
Story
Trump to Delay TikTok Ban, Proposes 50% U.S. Ownership in Joint Venture with ByteDance
Jan 19, 2025, 04:51 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the implementation of a ban on TikTok in the U.S. This decision comes in response to a federal law that required ByteDance, TikTok's China-based parent company, to divest its U.S. operations by Sunday or face a permanent ban. The law, upheld by the U.S. Supreme Court, was enacted due to national security concerns related to TikTok's Chinese ownership. Trump's order aims to extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, allowing more time for ByteDance to find an approved buyer. He also mentioned that the U.S. could take a 50% ownership position in a joint venture with ByteDance to 'save TikTok' and keep it operational in the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
Talks collapse • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
No Action • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
No action • 25%
Regulation • 25%
Ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
Other agreement • 25%
Continued operation under current ownership • 25%
Complete sale to a U.S. entity • 25%
50% U.S. ownership joint venture • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Sale to US company • 25%