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What actions will the U.S. government take regarding TikTok by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No action taken • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports
Story
Trump Likely to Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension on January 20, 2025 Inauguration Day
Jan 19, 2025, 06:03 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he will likely grant TikTok a 90-day extension on Inauguration Day, set for Monday. This decision comes as the deadline for a potential ban on the app approaches, reflecting ongoing discussions regarding its future in the U.S. market. Trump's statement indicates a willingness to delay any immediate actions against the platform, which has faced scrutiny over data privacy and security concerns.
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No changes • 25%
Regulation changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban • 25%
No action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Regulation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Opposes the ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Lifts ban • 25%
Allow TikTok without changes • 25%
Require divestment • 25%
Enforces ban • 25%
Negotiates new ownership • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Indefinite postponement • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Enforce divestiture • 25%
Allow continued operation • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%