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Neighboring countries' military response to PLA drills by year-end 2024
5
PLA•Taiwan•Joint Sword•Taiwan Strait•Taiwan Island•Kinmen•Matsu•Wuqiu•Dongyin•Eastern Theater Command
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in military alertness • 25%
No change • 25%
Reduction in military presence • 25%
Strategic alliances formed • 25%
Official military statements or credible defense news sources
Story
China Conducts 'Punishment' Drills Around Taiwan After New President's Inauguration
May 23, 2024, 03:25 AM
The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has initiated large-scale military drills surrounding Taiwan, starting at 7:45 a.m. on Thursday. The exercises, named 'Joint Sword-2024A,' will continue for two days and involve multiple military branches, including the army, navy, air force, and rocket force. The drills are being conducted in the Taiwan Strait and the north, south, and east of Taiwan Island, as well as around the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, and Dongyin. The PLA's Eastern Theater Command stated that these exercises serve as a 'strong punishment' for 'separatist acts' by Taiwan independence forces and a stern warning against external interference. The drills come just days after the inauguration of Taiwan's new president, Lai Ching-te. In response, Taiwan has scrambled jets and put missile, naval, and land units on alert. The drills also involve mock attacks and heavily armed warplanes, seen as a direct response to the new president's speech.
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Increased tension in the region • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in PLA activities • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military alliances strengthened • 25%
Increased trade with China • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Strengthening of existing alliances • 25%
Creation of new military alliances • 25%
No significant changes in alliances • 25%
Reduction of military commitments • 25%
Condemnation by multiple countries • 33%
Support from allies of China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%
Strengthening of domestic military capabilities • 25%
Seeking stronger international alliances • 25%
Internal political changes • 25%
No significant change in policy • 25%
Increase in military tension • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
De-escalation of military activities • 33%
US condemns the drills • 25%
EU calls for restraint • 25%
ASEAN issues a neutral statement • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increase in military spending • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Deployment of additional anti-missile systems • 25%
No significant change in military posture • 25%
Enhanced deterrence capability • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Decreased stability in the region • 34%
Increased US military presence • 33%
Increased South Korean military drills • 33%
No significant change • 34%