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What will be the international response to China's military drills by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Official government statements, reliable international news sources
Story
China Ends Largest Military Drills Around Taiwan with 111 Aircraft, Dozens of Vessels, and Mock Missile Strikes in 'Joint Sword-2024A'
May 26, 2024, 08:09 AM
China has concluded its largest military drills around Taiwan in a year, involving 111 aircraft and a dozen vessels. The exercises, which included mock missile strikes and simulated attacks, were labeled by Taiwan as a 'blatant provocation to the international order.' The drills, named 'Joint Sword-2024A,' coincided with the inauguration of Taiwan's new president, Lai Ching-te, who has extended an offer of cooperation to China despite the heightened military activity. The United States has expressed deep concern over the drills, urging Beijing to exercise restraint. Analysts suggest the drills were a test of Taiwan's defense readiness and a demonstration of China's capability to encircle the island. The exercises have raised international alarm, with calls for peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. The Beijing defense ministry and the People’s Liberation Army have reiterated their stance against Taiwanese independence provocations.
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Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
Condemnation by multiple countries • 33%
Support from allies of China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Support from Russia or North Korea • 25%
Neutral stance by the EU • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
US condemns the drills • 25%
EU calls for restraint • 25%
ASEAN issues a neutral statement • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Economic sanctions against China • 33%
Increased military support for Taiwan • 33%
No significant action taken • 34%
Condemnation by the UN Security Council • 25%
New sanctions imposed by Western countries • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Support from China or other allies • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
New sanctions by EU/US • 25%
Support from China or North Korea • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
US issues sanctions • 33%
EU issues joint statement of condemnation • 33%
China publicly supports Russia • 34%
Condemnation only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military support for Taiwan • 25%
No reaction • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%