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Market
What changes in military alliances will occur by the end of 2024 in response to the military drills around Taiwan?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthening of existing alliances • 25%
Creation of new military alliances • 25%
No significant changes in alliances • 25%
Reduction of military commitments • 25%
Official military or government announcements
Story
China Ends Largest Military Drills Around Taiwan with 111 Aircraft, a Dozen Vessels
May 25, 2024, 05:17 AM
China has concluded two days of military exercises around Taiwan, which involved simulating attacks with bombers and practicing boarding ships. Taiwan's Defense Ministry reported a significant surge in Chinese warplanes and warships during the drills, with approximately 111 aircraft and a dozen vessels participating. The exercises, the largest in a year, were confirmed to have ended by Chinese state media. Beijing says the maneuvers have officially ended.
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Increase in military spending • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Deployment of additional anti-missile systems • 25%
No significant change in military posture • 25%
Strengthen existing alliances • 33%
Weaken existing alliances • 33%
Form new alliances • 34%
Strengthening of domestic military capabilities • 25%
Seeking stronger international alliances • 25%
Internal political changes • 25%
No significant change in policy • 25%
New Iran-Syria-Hezbollah alliance • 33%
Iran-Russia alliance • 33%
No new alliances • 34%
Increase in military alertness • 25%
No change • 25%
Reduction in military presence • 25%
Strategic alliances formed • 25%
Increase in arms sales • 33%
Decrease in arms sales • 33%
No change in arms sales • 34%
