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Will Taiwan's President respond formally to PLA drills by June 30?
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PLA•Taiwan•Joint Sword•Taiwan Strait•Taiwan Island•Kinmen•Matsu•Wuqiu•Dongyin•Eastern Theater Command
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official press releases from the Office of the President of Taiwan or credible news outlets
Story
China Conducts 'Punishment' Drills Around Taiwan After New President's Inauguration
May 23, 2024, 03:25 AM
The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has initiated large-scale military drills surrounding Taiwan, starting at 7:45 a.m. on Thursday. The exercises, named 'Joint Sword-2024A,' will continue for two days and involve multiple military branches, including the army, navy, air force, and rocket force. The drills are being conducted in the Taiwan Strait and the north, south, and east of Taiwan Island, as well as around the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, and Dongyin. The PLA's Eastern Theater Command stated that these exercises serve as a 'strong punishment' for 'separatist acts' by Taiwan independence forces and a stern warning against external interference. The drills come just days after the inauguration of Taiwan's new president, Lai Ching-te. In response, Taiwan has scrambled jets and put missile, naval, and land units on alert. The drills also involve mock attacks and heavily armed warplanes, seen as a direct response to the new president's speech.
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Strengthening of domestic military capabilities • 25%
Seeking stronger international alliances • 25%
Internal political changes • 25%
No significant change in policy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in military spending • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Deployment of additional anti-missile systems • 25%
No significant change in military posture • 25%
Further drills • 33%
No further action • 33%
Military conflict • 34%
