Market
Will a state government publicly oppose the US two-gender policy by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from state governments or governors
Story
Trump Announces Immediate Policy: U.S. Recognizes Only Two Genders, Male and Female
Jan 20, 2025, 05:32 PM
President Donald Trump announced today that the United States government will officially recognize only two genders—male and female—effective immediately. "As of today, it will henceforth be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female," Trump said.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No action • 25%
Reject policy • 25%
Adopt similar policy • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Majority of states adopt similar policies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Majority of states oppose or challenge • 25%
11-15 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
More than 15 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
11-20 States • 25%
More than 20 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
New York City • 25%
Other • 25%
Chicago • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Majority opposition • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%