Market
Will a legal challenge to the US two-gender policy be filed by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court records and legal filings
Story
Trump Announces Immediate Policy: U.S. Recognizes Only Two Genders, Male and Female
Jan 20, 2025, 05:32 PM
President Donald Trump announced today that the United States government will officially recognize only two genders—male and female—effective immediately. "As of today, it will henceforth be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female," Trump said.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 10 Challenges • 25%
6-10 Challenges • 25%
1-5 Challenges • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Some challenges • 33%
Major challenges • 34%
No major challenges • 33%
