Market
How many states will challenge the executive orders on biological sex definition by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-5 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
11-15 States • 25%
More than 15 States • 25%
Court filings and legal proceedings records
Story
Trump Declares Only Two Genders, Plans to End DEI Programs and Define Sex Biologically
Jan 20, 2025, 05:32 PM
President Donald Trump, during his inaugural address, announced that, as of today, it will henceforth be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female. He declared that the government will recognize only two sexes and plans to issue executive orders to formalize this policy. These executive orders will require government agencies to define sex as biologically male or female, barring changes on passports, IDs, and prison records. Trump also stated his intention to end diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) programs within federal agencies and to end the housing of biological men in women's prisons.
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Similar markets
11-20 States • 25%
More than 20 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Majority of states oppose or challenge • 25%
Majority of states adopt similar policies • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
11-20 States • 25%
More than 20 States • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No Challenges • 25%
1-5 Challenges • 25%
6-10 Challenges • 25%
More than 10 Challenges • 25%
3-5 Challenges • 25%
More than 5 Challenges • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
1-2 Challenges • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No action • 25%
Reject policy • 25%
Adopt similar policy • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
0-5 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
11-20 states • 25%
More than 20 states • 25%