Market
Which major U.S. city will first officially oppose the federal two-gender policy by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New York City • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
Chicago • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from city governments and news reports
Story
Trump Announces U.S. Will Recognize Only Two Genders, Effective Immediately
Jan 20, 2025, 05:40 PM
In his inauguration speech on January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the United States government will officially recognize only two genders—male and female. He stated that this policy takes effect immediately, rolling back transgender protections and ending the government's recognition of a third gender option in certain settings. "As of today, it will henceforth be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female," Trump said.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Houston • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
New York City • 25%
Chicago • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
Other • 25%
Chicago • 25%
New York City • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
Strengthening of policies • 25%
Weakening of policies • 25%
No change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New York City • 25%
Other • 25%
Chicago • 25%
San Francisco • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Majority of states oppose or challenge • 25%
Majority of states adopt similar policies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Other • 25%
New York • 25%
California • 25%
Texas • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%