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What will be the change in control of key areas in northern Syria by July 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey gains control • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or conflict monitoring groups
Story
Turkish Armed Forces Neutralize 20 PKK/YPG Terrorists in Euphrates Shield and Northern Syria
Jan 10, 2025, 08:05 AM
Turkey's Ministry of National Defense announced that the Turkish Armed Forces neutralized 20 PKK/YPG terrorists in the Euphrates Shield region and northern Syria. The operation targeted the specified terrorists in the Fırat Kalkanı area and other parts of northern Syria, reflecting ongoing efforts to combat terrorism in the region.
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SDF gains control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Increased control by Turkey • 25%
Increased control by YPG • 25%
Control remains unchanged • 25%
Other changes • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Other factions • 25%
YPG • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
No change in control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Full control by Syrian government • 25%
Partial control by Syrian government • 25%
Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Other local factions • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Kurdish militants • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%