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Who will control major Syrian cities by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Government retains control • 25%
Rebels control major cities • 25%
Equal control/shared control • 25%
International peacekeepers deployed • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and local sources
Story
Biden Administration Expects Assad's Regime to Collapse Within Days Due to Rebel Advance
Dec 7, 2024, 06:02 PM
The Biden administration increasingly believes that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime could collapse within days, according to multiple US officials cited by CNN. This assessment is based on the remarkable speed of the Syrian rebel advance and the growing isolation of Assad's government. The administration has been closely monitoring the situation in Syria, where opposition forces have made significant gains.
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Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
No clear control in major cities • 25%
Rebels control majority of major cities • 25%
Control is evenly split • 25%
Government controls all major cities • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by Turkish-backed forces • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Government control • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Rebel control • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Opposition Forces • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
HTS • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) • 25%
Other • 25%
A new armed faction • 25%
Syrian Defense Ministry • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebels • 25%
Assad Regime • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Under IDF control • 25%
Under other forces' control • 25%
Under Syrian government control • 25%
Remains under current control • 25%