Market
Which countries will be involved in a coalition against Iran following a potential attack on its nuclear facilities by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
US only • 25%
US and Israel • 25%
Multiple countries including US • 25%
No coalition formed • 25%
Reports from major international news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or CNN
Story
Iran's Araghchi Warns Israel and US: Attack on Nuclear Facilities Would Trigger Immediate, Decisive Response
Jan 28, 2025, 07:19 AM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has warned that any attack by Israel or the United States on Iran's nuclear facilities would be met with an immediate and decisive response, describing such an action as 'crazy' and predicting it would lead to a 'very bad disaster' for the region. The statement was made in an exclusive interview with Sky News, marking the first such interview since the inauguration of Donald Trump. Araghchi expressed skepticism about the feasibility of such an attack, suggesting that the consequences would be too severe for the region. He also indicated Iran's willingness to listen to President Trump regarding a new nuclear deal, but stressed that rebuilding trust would be necessary due to past experiences.
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No resolution • 25%
Resolution through UN intervention • 25%
Resolution through a regional coalition • 25%
Resolution through bilateral talks with the U.S. • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for diplomatic resolution • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military action considered • 25%
Diplomatic efforts increased • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Unsuccessful attack • 25%
Successful attack with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Successful attack with no retaliation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remain neutral • 25%
Support US/Israel action • 25%
Condemn US/Israel action • 25%
Call for diplomacy • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United States • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
No additional countries • 25%
Transfer of military equipment to allies • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Military action • 25%
Both Israel and U.S. strike • 25%
No military action • 25%
Only Israel strikes • 25%
Only U.S. strikes • 25%