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What will be the outcome of Israel's potential attack on Iran's nuclear facilities by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful attack with no retaliation • 25%
Successful attack with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful attack • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Official statements from involved governments and credible international news agencies
Story
Israel Decides to Attack Iran's Nuclear Facilities, U.S. President-Elect Donald Trump Expected to Apply Maximum Pressure
Jan 18, 2025, 09:12 PM
Senior European officials have indicated that Israel has made the decision to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. This assessment follows recent developments in the Middle East and comes in the context of discussions between the incoming U.S. administration under President-Elect Donald Trump and Israel. A senior European diplomat stated, 'we believe Israel has taken the decision to attack following the developments in the Middle East over the last several months.' Sources suggest that the U.S. is expected to exert maximum pressure on Iran immediately after the inauguration.
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Successful strikes with no retaliation • 25%
Successful strikes with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful strikes • 25%
No strikes conducted • 25%
Strike occurs but is unsuccessful • 25%
Strike occurs and is successful • 25%
Strike is postponed indefinitely • 25%
Strike is canceled • 25%
No military action • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale military intervention • 25%
Limited strikes • 25%
Strike executed successfully • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Strike delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Strike called off • 25%
No decision • 25%
Strike postponed • 25%
Strike rejected • 25%
Strike approved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Only Israel strikes • 25%
Both Israel and U.S. strike • 25%
No military action • 25%
Only U.S. strikes • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Modified • 25%
Carried out as planned • 25%
Delayed further • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Joint Military Operation • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%