Market
What will be the stance of major powers on Iran conflict by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support US/Israel action • 25%
Condemn US/Israel action • 25%
Call for diplomacy • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Official statements from governments or international organizations such as the UN or NATO.
Story
Trump Declines to Comment on Preemptive Strikes Against Iran's Nuclear Program
Dec 16, 2024, 05:12 PM
President-elect Donald Trump, during a press conference at Mar-a-Lago in Florida, declined to comment on whether he would support preemptive strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. When asked by a reporter if he would consider such action, Trump responded with incredulity, questioning the seriousness of the inquiry and refusing to provide an answer, stating that discussing such matters publicly would be inappropriate. He further elaborated that one does not reveal plans for potential military actions beforehand, emphasizing the unpredictability of his approach to foreign policy. This interaction highlights Trump's stance on maintaining ambiguity regarding military strategies, particularly concerning Iran's nuclear program and potential Israeli strikes.
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Similar markets
No statement made • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Iranian influence denied • 25%
Iranian influence confirmed • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Comprehensive Peace Agreement • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Resolution through UN intervention • 25%
Resolution through a regional coalition • 25%
Resolution through bilateral talks with the U.S. • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
De-escalation without resolution • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Resolution through diplomacy • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions without conflict • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
Military Conflict • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%