Market
How will the Iran nuclear issue be resolved by international coalitions by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution through UN intervention • 25%
Resolution through a regional coalition • 25%
Resolution through bilateral talks with the U.S. • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Announcements from international bodies like the UN or major coalition members
Story
Lindsey Graham Calls for Military Action Against Iran's Nuclear Program, Claims 'One in a Trillion' Chance for Diplomacy
Jan 20, 2025, 06:47 AM
Senator Lindsey Graham has called for military action against Iran's nuclear program, emphasizing that the highest priority is to prevent a nuclear-capable Iran. In a series of statements, Graham indicated that he believes diplomatic efforts have little chance of success, stating that the likelihood of effective negotiations is 'one in a trillion.' He asserted that Hamas will not govern Gaza and that the next step is to eliminate Iran's nuclear capabilities. Graham also mentioned his intent to collaborate with former President Donald Trump to achieve this goal, reinforcing his stance on the urgency of addressing Iran's nuclear threat.
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Similar markets
Unresolved • 25%
Resolved through military intervention • 25%
Resolved through diplomacy • 25%
Resolved through sanctions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
New diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Snapback sanctions reimposed • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic efforts increased • 25%
Military action considered • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Military action • 25%
Transfer of military equipment to allies • 25%
Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions without conflict • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%