Market
Will the U.S. conduct military action against Iran's nuclear facilities by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or recognized international news agencies
Story
Lindsey Graham Calls for Military Action Against Iran's Nuclear Program, Claims 'One in a Trillion' Chance for Diplomacy
Jan 20, 2025, 06:47 AM
Senator Lindsey Graham has called for military action against Iran's nuclear program, emphasizing that the highest priority is to prevent a nuclear-capable Iran. In a series of statements, Graham indicated that he believes diplomatic efforts have little chance of success, stating that the likelihood of effective negotiations is 'one in a trillion.' He asserted that Hamas will not govern Gaza and that the next step is to eliminate Iran's nuclear capabilities. Graham also mentioned his intent to collaborate with former President Donald Trump to achieve this goal, reinforcing his stance on the urgency of addressing Iran's nuclear threat.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Transfer of military equipment to allies • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
