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What will be the international response to Israel's potential strikes on Iran by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international bodies like the UN or NATO, and reports from major news outlets
Story
Israel Prepares for Potential Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facilities After Operation Arrow of the Bashan Destroys 90% of Syrian Defenses
Dec 12, 2024, 04:02 PM
The Israeli military has significantly weakened Syrian air defenses, destroying over 90% of the country's strategic surface-to-air missiles. This operation, named “Arrow of the Bashan,” was launched following the collapse of the Assad regime, targeting a wide range of Syrian military assets including fighter jets, helicopters, Scud missiles, drones, cruise missiles, and air defense systems. The Israeli Air Force (IAF) conducted hundreds of strikes, hitting key locations such as the T4 air base near Damascus and the “Blay” airport, which housed several fighter squadrons. This strategic move has opened what the IDF describes as a 'clear path to Iran,' leading to preparations for potential strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. The IDF believes this is a rare opportunity to address the Iranian nuclear threat, given the weakened state of Iran's regional proxies and the fall of Assad's regime. The operation involved the use of 1800 munitions and targeted 500 military sites, showcasing the IAF's air superiority in the region.
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Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Unsuccessful attack • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Successful attack with no retaliation • 25%
Successful attack with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from NATO allies • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Other responses • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Mixed international response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Widespread international support • 25%
Predominantly international condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
Strong condemnation and calls for sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism with calls for dialogue • 25%
Minimal response with no significant action • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%