Market
What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. post-January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or the U.S. government
Story
China Considers Selling TikTok's U.S. Operations to Elon Musk Before January 19 Deadline
Jan 14, 2025, 10:00 PM
Chinese officials are reportedly considering the sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to Elon Musk as a contingency plan if ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, fails to overturn a looming U.S. ban set to take effect on January 19, 2025. This potential move comes amidst discussions on how to address the U.S. legislation that requires ByteDance to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban. TikTok has denied these reports, labeling them as 'pure fiction.' Meanwhile, Elon Musk, who already owns X (formerly Twitter), has not publicly commented on the matter. The discussions highlight Musk's increasing role as a power broker in U.S.-China relations, with some suggesting that his close ties to both President-elect Donald Trump and Chinese authorities could facilitate such a deal. The outcome of these talks remains uncertain as the deadline approaches, with significant implications for the future of TikTok in the U.S. market.
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Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Other status • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
