Market
What will be TikTok's legal status in the U.S. by April 6, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Modified restrictions • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Legal documents, court rulings, or official government statements
Story
Trump Delays TikTok Ban for 75 Days, Citing Need for Review and Possible U.S. Ownership
Jan 21, 2025, 04:42 AM
President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Monday, delaying the enforcement of a ban on TikTok for 75 days. The order was issued to allow his administration time to determine the appropriate course of action regarding the popular short-video app, which was slated to be shuttered on January 19. The move comes after the Supreme Court upheld the ban, and follows a brief period where TikTok was unavailable to U.S. users. Trump's order directs the Attorney General not to enforce the law during this period, and also instructs the Justice Department not to impose penalties for noncompliance with the ban. The delay provides TikTok's China-based parent company, ByteDance, additional time to find a U.S. buyer or negotiate a deal that could involve U.S. government ownership of the app.
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TikTok remains banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Divested • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%