Market
What will be the status of TikTok's US operations by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, US government, or major news outlets
Story
Kevin O'Leary Bids $20 Billion for TikTok's US Operations Before January 19 Ban Deadline
Jan 17, 2025, 11:35 PM
Kevin O'Leary, known from 'Shark Tank,' has made a $20 billion cash offer to purchase TikTok's US operations from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance. This bid comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the US, set to take effect on January 19, 2025, unless the platform is sold. The Supreme Court upheld a federal law that requires TikTok to be sold or face a shutdown due to national security concerns. O'Leary's offer is part of a broader effort to save the platform for its 170 million American users, amidst the looming deadline. O'Leary has expressed excitement about the situation and warned that service providers could face significant fines if they continue to support TikTok post-ban.
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Operational without change • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%