Market
What will be the status of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire by March 3, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news reports
Story
Israel Releases 90 Palestinian Women and Minors from Ofer Prison in Exchange for Three Israeli Hostages Under Gaza Ceasefire
Jan 20, 2025, 12:09 AM
Israel has released 90 Palestinian prisoners, all women or minors, in the first exchange under a ceasefire agreement with Hamas. This action followed the release of three Israeli hostages by Hamas, marking the initial phase of the truce. The Palestinian prisoners were freed from Israel's Ofer prison, located just outside the West Bank city of Ramallah, and were greeted by crowds upon their release. The ceasefire agreement, which began on Sunday, is set to facilitate the release of 33 Israeli hostages over the next six weeks in exchange for nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners and detainees.
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Ceasefire holds • 25%
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