Market
What will be the status of the Gaza ceasefire by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israel's Security Cabinet Approves Gaza Ceasefire; Hostage Release to Begin Jan 19
Jan 17, 2025, 02:02 PM
On Friday, Israel's security cabinet recommended approval of a ceasefire deal with Hamas in Gaza, which was signed in Doha and includes the release of hostages held by the militant group. The agreement aims to pause the 15-month war with Hamas in Gaza. The ceasefire is expected to take effect on Sunday, and the release of dozens of hostages is expected to begin on January 19. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office announced that the deal now goes to the full cabinet for final approval.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Mutual violation • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire broken, major conflicts • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
New peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor conflicts • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Ceasefire broken by Hamas • 25%
Mutual agreement to extend • 25%
Ceasefire broken by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
