Market
What will be the status of the Gaza ceasefire by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
Mutual violation • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, Palestinian authorities, reputable international news agencies
Story
Trump Promises Netanyahu Support to Violate Gaza Ceasefire, Lift Sanctions on Pegasus Spyware, and Facilitate West Bank Land Theft
Jan 14, 2025, 03:25 PM
Israeli media has reported that former U.S. President Donald Trump promised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu support to violate a nascent ceasefire in Gaza. The reports indicate that Trump assured Netanyahu he could break the ceasefire and resume military actions after signing a deal. Additionally, Trump allegedly offered a 'gift bag' of benefits, which includes lifting sanctions on Israel's Pegasus spyware and providing support for Israeli settlers and extremists, as well as facilitating land acquisition in the West Bank.
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Similar markets
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire broken, major conflicts • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor conflicts • 25%
New peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor incidents • 25%
Ceasefire is extended • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Temporary ceasefire extension • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%