Market
Status of Israel-Hamas ceasefire by Mar 4, 2025?
4
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•United States•Netanyahu•Joe Biden•Donald Trump•Philadelphi Corridor•Palestinian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire broken by Hamas • 25%
Mutual agreement to extend • 25%
Official government statements and reports from international news agencies
Story
Netanyahu: Gaza Ceasefire Temporary, Israel to Free 33 Hostages for 737 Prisoners in 6 Weeks
Jan 18, 2025, 09:17 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas in Gaza, set to take effect on Sunday, is temporary. He emphasized that Israel reserves the right to resume the war with the support of the United States if necessary. Netanyahu stated that both outgoing President Joe Biden and incoming President Donald Trump have given Israel full backing to return to fighting if the second phase of the ceasefire agreement fails. He also mentioned that Israel will not reduce its military presence in the Philadelphi Corridor along the Egypt-Gaza border but will instead increase it during the first stage of the ceasefire. During the first phase, which lasts six weeks, 33 Israeli hostages are to be freed in exchange for the release of 737 Palestinian prisoners. Netanyahu reiterated his commitment to achieving all war objectives, including the return of all hostages held by Hamas.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire broken, major conflicts • 25%
New peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor conflicts • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down • 25%
Ceasefire extended with negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire holds without full agreement • 25%
Ceasefire holds with full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with renewed conflict • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire ends with no agreement • 25%
Partial agreement with limited hostilities • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Successful extension of ceasefire • 25%
Mutual violation • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire fully implemented • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Ceasefire holds with full compliance • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor violations • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major violations • 25%
Ceasefire collapses entirely • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down completely • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Hamas • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds without violation • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire ends with renewed conflict • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire ends without major incidents • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
