Market
What will be the response of TikTok users if the ban is enforced by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Other response • 25%
Surveys, social media analysis, and news reports
Story
DOJ Urges Court to Reject TikTok's Bid to Block U.S. Ban, Citing National Security
Dec 13, 2024, 03:15 AM
The Department of Justice (DOJ) has asked a U.S. appeals court to reject TikTok's effort to block a law that would force the company to divest from its Chinese-based parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban in the U.S. on January 19, 2025. The law, signed by President Joe Biden, aims to address national security concerns related to data collection and potential content manipulation by the Chinese government. TikTok has filed an emergency motion to halt the ban, arguing that a small delay would not cause serious national security concerns. The DOJ contends that the continued control of TikTok by ByteDance poses a significant threat to national security. Despite President-elect Donald Trump's campaign promise not to support a TikTok ban, the company has expressed its intent to appeal the decision, citing the platform's popularity and its role as a major speech platform in the U.S.
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Similar markets
Significant backlash • 25%
No noticeable backlash • 25%
Minimal backlash • 25%
Moderate backlash • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Decrease in social media usage • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests or legal action • 25%
Migration to other platforms • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Decreased usage • 25%
Organized protests • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased usage • 25%
Switch to alternative apps • 25%
Use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Stop using TikTok • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Majority oppose ban • 33%
Majority support ban • 33%
Divided opinion • 34%
Adoption of alternatives • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minimal response • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%