Market
What actions will ByteDance take in response to the U.S. ban threat by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or news reports
Story
DOJ Urges Court to Reject TikTok's Bid to Block U.S. Ban, Citing National Security
Dec 13, 2024, 03:15 AM
The Department of Justice (DOJ) has asked a U.S. appeals court to reject TikTok's effort to block a law that would force the company to divest from its Chinese-based parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban in the U.S. on January 19, 2025. The law, signed by President Joe Biden, aims to address national security concerns related to data collection and potential content manipulation by the Chinese government. TikTok has filed an emergency motion to halt the ban, arguing that a small delay would not cause serious national security concerns. The DOJ contends that the continued control of TikTok by ByteDance poses a significant threat to national security. Despite President-elect Donald Trump's campaign promise not to support a TikTok ban, the company has expressed its intent to appeal the decision, citing the platform's popularity and its role as a major speech platform in the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Other • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Other response • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply without divestiture • 25%
Divest ownership • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Other • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Divests TikTok • 25%
Does Not Divest • 25%
Finds Alternative Solution • 25%
Awaiting Supreme Court Decision • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
Fails to comply • 25%
Negotiates alternative solution • 25%
Complies with divestment • 25%
Seeks legal action • 25%
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%