Market
How will TikTok's U.S. user base react if banned after January 19, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Social media trends and user activity reports
Story
TikTok Appeals to Supreme Court to Block U.S. Ban by Jan. 19, Amid Trump's Support
Dec 17, 2024, 05:47 PM
TikTok has filed an emergency application with the U.S. Supreme Court to block a federal law that mandates the app's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest its holdings by January 19, 2025, or face a ban in the U.S. The company argues that the law violates the First Amendment and would affect its 170 million American users. Amidst this legal battle, President-elect Donald Trump met with TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew at Mar-a-Lago, signaling a potential openness to stopping the ban. Trump has expressed a 'warm spot' for TikTok, citing its role in his recent election success among young voters. The law, passed by Congress in April, stems from concerns over national security risks posed by TikTok's data collection and potential content manipulation by the Chinese government. A federal appeals court upheld the law earlier this month, rejecting TikTok's First Amendment claims.
View original story
Similar markets
Migration to other platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease in social media usage • 25%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%
Organized protests • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased usage • 25%
Decreased usage • 25%
Significant backlash • 25%
Minimal backlash • 25%
No noticeable backlash • 25%
Moderate backlash • 25%
Other response • 25%
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Stop using TikTok • 25%
Switch to alternative apps • 25%
Use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Majority oppose ban • 33%
Divided opinion • 34%
Majority support ban • 33%
No significant reaction • 25%
Major protests or backlash • 25%
Minor protests or backlash • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
User migration to other platforms • 25%