Market
What will be the political future of Kweon Seong-dong by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains floor leader • 25%
Resigns as floor leader • 25%
Removed as floor leader • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the People Power Party or major news outlets
Story
South Korea's Yoon Vows to 'Fight to the End' as Impeachment Nears Over Martial Law Order
Dec 12, 2024, 04:21 AM
On December 12, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol defended his recent declaration of martial law in a televised address, stating he would 'fight to the end' and refusing to resign amid mounting impeachment efforts. Yoon justified the short-lived martial law, imposed on December 3, as a necessary legal measure to 'protect democracy' against opposition parties he labeled as 'anti-state forces.' He accused the opposition of paralyzing national politics and alleged that North Korea has hacked the country's elections. The impeachment vote, scheduled for December 14, has gained momentum as members of Yoon's own People Power Party, including its new floor leader Kweon Seong-dong, have shown support for his removal. The National Assembly has approved motions to impeach Justice Minister Han Dong-hoon and National Police Chief Kim Chang-yong.
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Remains President • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Impeached and Removed • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Continues political career • 25%
Banned from holding office • 25%
Maintains position • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Acting President remains • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns from office • 25%
Impeached by National Assembly • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of crisis • 25%
Crisis ongoing • 25%
Crisis resolved • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Convicted and Imprisoned • 25%
Acquitted and Reinstated • 25%
Resigns from Politics • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
New presidential elections called • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
Government change • 25%
Stability restored • 25%
Other • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%