Market
What will be President Yoon's political outcome by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquitted and Reinstated • 25%
Convicted and Imprisoned • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Resigns from Politics • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government and major news outlets
Story
South Korea's Impeached President Yoon Contests 20-Day Detention Extension Over Martial Law Bid
Jan 18, 2025, 02:35 AM
South Korea's impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol attended a court hearing on Saturday to contest a request by investigators to extend his detention. Yoon, arrested earlier this week over his failed martial law bid, made a surprise appearance at the Seoul Western District Court. The hearing, which lasted about five hours, focused on whether to issue an arrest warrant that could extend Yoon's detention for up to 20 days. Yoon's legal team argued against the warrant, asserting that the martial law declaration was a legitimate exercise of presidential authority. Meanwhile, thousands of Yoon's supporters rallied outside the court, with some clashing with police. The court is expected to issue a decision on the arrest warrant early Sunday.
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Remains in Office • 25%
Other • 25%
Impeached and Removed • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Resigns from office • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Impeached by National Assembly • 25%
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Other • 25%
Remains free and not detained • 25%
Escapes or flees the country • 25%
Arrested and detained • 25%
New presidential election called • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol faces trial • 25%
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Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Successfully completes term • 25%
Impeached • 25%
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Still President • 25%
Resigned • 25%
Impeached and Removed • 25%
Public apology tour • 25%
Policy reform • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Other action • 25%
Banned from holding office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues political career • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%