Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-Denmark-Greenland relations by the end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Greenland•United States•Air Force One•Trump•Denmark•Danish•Mette Frederiksen•Frederiksen•Mute Egede
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland remains part of Denmark • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Greenland gains independence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official government statements from the U.S., Denmark, and Greenland
Story
Trump Insists on Acquiring Greenland, Citing 57,000 Residents' Desire and Free World Protection
Jan 26, 2025, 07:45 AM
U.S. President Donald Trump has reiterated his interest in acquiring Greenland, asserting that the island's 57,000 residents want to be part of the United States. In a conversation with reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump emphasized that gaining control of Greenland is crucial for the protection of the free world, stating that the U.S. is the only entity capable of ensuring its freedom. He suggested that Denmark's refusal to allow this would be an unfriendly act. Trump's comments follow a contentious phone call with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, during which he demanded the purchase of Greenland. Frederiksen has maintained that Greenland is not for sale and belongs to its people. Greenland's Prime Minister Mute Egede has also expressed a desire for closer cooperation with the U.S. on defense and mining, despite asserting that the island's future is a matter for Greenlanders to decide.
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Similar markets
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Tensions escalated • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Agreement to sell Greenland • 25%
Negotiations without agreement • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Agreement on other terms • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Denmark strengthens defense of Greenland • 25%
U.S.-Denmark agreement on Greenland • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Other • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Denmark escalates to international bodies • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%