Market
How will the U.S.-Denmark Greenland dispute be resolved by end of 2025?
3
Donald Trump•Danish•Mette Frederiksen•Greenland•Financial Times•European•Trump•Frederiksen•Danes•Denmark
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from U.S. or Danish governments or international diplomatic agreements
Story
Trump Threatens Tariffs in Fiery Call with Danish PM Frederiksen over Greenland
Jan 24, 2025, 08:47 PM
President Donald Trump had a heated 45-minute telephone conversation with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, insisting he was serious about taking over Greenland, according to a report by the Financial Times citing senior European officials. The call, which took place last week, reportedly went very badly, with Trump being aggressive and confrontational after Frederiksen reiterated that Greenland is not for sale. Danish officials are said to be in crisis mode, with one official describing the conversation as "horrendous" and another saying, "The Danes are utterly freaked out by this." Trump allegedly threatened specific measures against Denmark, such as targeted tariffs, heightening tensions between the two nations.
View original story
Similar markets
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Denmark escalates to international bodies • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland gains independence • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Greenland remains part of Denmark • 25%
U.S. expands military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland sold to U.S. • 25%
Denmark rejects U.S. proposal • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
U.S.-Denmark agreement on Greenland • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Denmark strengthens defense of Greenland • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tensions escalated • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Negotiations without agreement • 25%
Agreement on other terms • 25%
Agreement to sell Greenland • 25%
New cooperation agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Greenland independence • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%