Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts with Denmark regarding Greenland in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened relations • 25%
Tensions escalated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Danish governments or major news agencies
Story
JD Vance: No Military Force Needed for Greenland Due to US Troop Presence, Cites Strategic Importance and Natural Resources
Jan 12, 2025, 03:15 PM
Vice President-elect JD Vance has stated that the United States does not need to use military force to take control of Greenland, as American troops are already present there. Vance emphasized Greenland's strategic importance to the U.S., citing its natural resources and the need for American leadership in securing and developing these assets. He criticized the Danish government for not adequately securing Greenland, suggesting that there is an opportunity for the U.S. to take a leadership role. Vance's comments align with President-elect Donald Trump's views on Greenland's strategic value to American security interests.
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Similar markets
No significant change • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Formal purchase proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Formal purchase proposal • 33%
Increased cooperation without purchase • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Denmark intervenes • 25%
Greenland rejects negotiations • 25%
Denmark rejects the demand • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
Denmark strengthens defense of Greenland • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
U.S.-Denmark agreement on Greenland • 25%
U.S. expands military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland sold to U.S. • 25%
Denmark rejects U.S. proposal • 25%
Denmark increases own military presence • 25%
Increased U.S. presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reduced U.S. presence • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%