Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's military operations targeting PKK/YPG in Syria in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Partial success with continued PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant impact on PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Operation not conducted • 25%
Reports from Turkish government and international news agencies
Story
Turkey Targets PKK/YPG in Syria for 2025, Sees U.S. as Sole Counterpart
Jan 10, 2025, 08:41 AM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, during a press conference in Istanbul, outlined Turkey's foreign policy priorities for 2025, emphasizing the elimination of terrorism in Syria as a key objective. Fidan stated that Turkey has the capacity, power, and determination to eliminate all threats to its existence at their source, specifically targeting the PKK/YPG terror group and its affiliates in Syria. He also mentioned that Turkey has no territorial ambitions in any country and no hidden agenda, focusing on peace, cooperation, solidarity, and prosperity as the main axes of its foreign policy. Fidan criticized countries that attempt to advance their interests in Syria by using U.S. power, particularly calling out France for its stance on deploying troops to the Syrian border. He stressed that Turkey's only counterpart in this matter is the U.S., and reiterated Turkey's commitment to fighting terrorism, including both PKK/YPG and ISIS, with the same determination.
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Complete eradication • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Some Eliminated • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
None Eliminated • 25%
All Eliminated • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%